away from the post-time favorite as much as possible. U.S. Race / Meeting FilterYou can filter this page to show the stats for the whole day, turf or all weather meetings, a specific meeting or race time. Sire must have had 10 wins on AW to be included. Needless to say, there is not a consensus on the subject. Stats for combination runs. Today's Jockey, Jockey All Weather Favourite Stats, Trainer All Weather Should a horse fail on any of these rules (even one of them) Jockey, Horse Stats By Race Wt Betting class will also help you to eliminate horses from contention. Of course, the sample size is wholly insufficient, but the numbers mirror what Ive seen in other too-good-to-be-true scenarios: the win rate goes up, but the odds go down way down. 3. Stats, All Green Sample / ConfidenceIf advanced info is selected you can filter out stats with either low sample sizes or low statistical relevance. SP, 1999-2019 UK Horse Racing Especially if it is a claimer race because the trainer risks losing the horse in a claim. Reading The Ratings The exception to this rule is the Changers, Distance m/f Today : Tomorrow: DATE COURSE TIME NO. Today's Grade Droppers Biggest drop in prize money from last start Horse Name Race Details Drop in $ Drop in % 4. 100.00%. Class drops are just one approach. Kids begin to get serious about the game in high school. The higher the number, the stronger the race. In this instance an 'x' is listed next to the item worn. It doesnt take a Pittsburgh Phil to figure out that Tribal Jewel was the best horse in this race, but is he the best horse now on Jan. 6? either of its last two races is a vulnerable favorite. With claiming races, its not always about identifying the best horse (actually, thats rarely true of any race the odds always matter but you get the picture). It just goes to show that there are The best of the best wind up in the National Football League. "Class drops" (any drop in claiming price or drop from a "protected" race into an open race) will be shown in gold - class jumps in blue. WtD For that reason, many punters like to bet on horses who have dropped in class. But actually its the second attempt at the same class after previously dropping. Travellers, In Form Trainer Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Jockey How to Figure Horses Dropping in Class After Being Claimed Recently, on the " Homeless Handicappers " Facebook page, a member asked about a horse named Tribal Jewel, who had been claimed for $16,000 at Del Mar on Nov. 25 and was subsequently entered for an $8,000 tag at Santa Anita on Jan. 6. I hope, though, that the results will re-enforce in your mind one of the over-riding facts of handicapping and betting horse races: Horses dropping in class win far more than they should. Stats, One Ride If they plan two races of two similar classes both for horses raced 70-120, say, and in one race horses with the Official Rating of 70 turn up and in the other only horses rated 120 start, would it be fair to say that these two races are of the same class? CPos YOU MAY EVEN SEE A HORSE THAT WON ITS LAST AND RIDER IS NOT ON TODAY WHEN RIDER HAS BEEN OFF OF TWO OR THREE OTHER HORSES LIMIT JOCK ON HORSES OF LAST THREE OR FOUR RACES ONLY. You can do extensive research, and compile the data that will allow you to delineate claiming ladders, and categories using average pace ratings or pars. Race Competition Level (RCL) for Past Performances. He is listed as xB. d) First condition allowance races where all the horses have showed they can not win at If you follow the punters which read the classification of the event as being the indication of class then it has dropped in class. If a horse in relatively good form faces weaker competition, it's logical to believe that the lesser competition will enable the horse dropping down to shine. Included are; Optional claimers, starter handicaps and allowance races (as well as stakes races) - as opposed to straight claimers (at similar price levels) where the horse can be lost via a claim. Runners, One Runner Those stats are eye-popping. Thats the way trainer Brian Lynch is , By Richard Rosenblatt Hes a Hall of Famer, and one of the most well-respected trainers in the business ever. Some of the tables are basic count stats, such as showing horses with the most Course Wins, whilst some are more complex such as the Sires Turf to All Weather A/E ratio. The fastest athlete wins. Stl 6. US Racing is not a racebook or ADW, and does not accept or place wagers of any 347. It could mean that the horse is no longer suitable for racing and its trainer wishes to unload it on some unsuspecting buyer. WinF If you are wondering which horses are running today in a different class type? we have you covered. Winners: 1,815. second-time starter, still a maiden. As an example, a non-winners-of-two Allowance races for older males at Santa Anita would carry a class rating of 155. representation or endorsement of any activities offered by any reviewed racebook or ADW. Note that 3 of the races were won by horses staying at the same level as previous race, so then only 4 races were won by horses going up in class thats just 22 %. Once we find such a favorite, this is the type of race we Top 10 rider or a Top 10 trainer and you have a probable favorite in the race, especially if it is ), A Grade I race for older males has an RCL of 210, with Grade II older males receiving a 205. Maybe someone has already done some work in that area. That was 18 races at 4 tracks. Figures from flat turf and all weather. Table ranked by earnings per start. Sample Ratings Zozos will be their first Kentucky Derby entry after . 8 To find out more about horse racing stats such as: number of winners, strike rates, and profit please read our Horse Racing Stats Guide. This is slightly better than betting horses at random but heres where it starts to get interesting. But both are the refuge of political and economic opportunists. Ernest Hemingway, The whole idea of government is to give the few a way to exploit the many. Bill Bonner, Meditation is simply a question of being, of melting, like a piece of butter left in the sun. -Sogyal Rinpoche, America has gazed into the abyss and apparently decided to sign a lease and move in. James Howard Kuntsler, I play to win and if it looks like Ive lost, its only because its not over yet. Kiera Dellacroix, The Melborne Cup: The Race That Destroys the Favorites, The game revolves around money in every regard. e.g. 4. Runners, Available Data Beyer #s and recent success, have become so over used that prices have become surpressed over the last few decades. Dropping a class is much better for your GPA than failing a class or getting a C or D in it is because a dropped class does not affect your grade point average. I consider races where a horse is being protected to usually contain a "classier" field than races where they are not protected. These are the types of races where the class levels are most obvious (though not always so when considering the restrictions involved in some claiming races) as opposed to some of the other categories of races. Seems like I see winning efforts off that 2nd attempt all the time. 5. The horse has been doing well. 3. Musselburgh 13:50. When a horse takes a class drop this means it is taking a step down where competition is concerned. Today's Heres an example. given date. Flat Runs includes runs from both flat turf and all weather. Toss it. A horse is moving down in class (or dropping) in reverse circumstances, such as allowance to claiming or graded to restricted stakes. Horse Handicapping Articles (click to view/read) Making a Betting Line Success And Luck Turn Time - the hidden fraction Track Specific Spot Plays However, also consider this: If that horse was not good enough in a graded stakes, and the trainer took a class drop, there is a reason for it. Distance wins are from both all weather and turf. For instance, a Grade I Stakes race for older males is always a 210, a $32,000 claimer for older fillies and mares is always 140. Minimum of 10 runs to qualify. 6. No Alternatively, you can read the Ignition Casino review first. Today, the class drop may be enough to help the horse achieve a win. So the question is when do you know when that favorite is going to win? The desire to run and compete is inherent but it is not always enough. Subscribers can visit the Races-Search Runners page or one of the BetTurtle race cards. Stats, Tipping Hall of The reason for that is that these horses are competing with weaker horses (even though in a handicap race they may have to carry more weight). Are you loking for horse handicapping? or better. Advanced will also show Expected Wins (SRI) and Archie (chi-squared) statistical figures. Stats, Jockey National Hunt We are a team of passionate racing enthusiasts and IT experts with a belief that studying horse racing form is too hard and time consuming for most people. Favourite Stats, Jockey National Hunt Thats an amazing statistic with HORSE ODDS POS CHANGE STATS TRAINER View stats tables for today's horse racing meetings at Lingfield and Newcastle. However; after 26 years in the game, I've concluded one thing: Race betting can be a whole lot simpler than some "experts" try to make it out to be. First Time Head Gear applies to the exact item being worn today. Horse Handicapping | Horse Racing Handicapping, (by the simple definition given earlier) =. is going to take place? Elevated. And look at what happens when those same horses compete . class droppers win almost three times as many races as class risers! The two races are of completely different classes. Read reviews by other subscribers or leave your own review on. Just because they have an idea of the type of class of race it doesn't mean for a moment that is what they are going to get. View the daily list of Horse Racing Grade Droppers. Trainer Jones has been running his horse in $15,000 claiming races. Last ran figure from the flat turf or all weather only. Value Any horse that drops suspiciously in. In other words, at some tracks - moving around in a group of class levels can be relatively easy while at other tracks jumping up from one of these same levels to the next higher might be very tough. Connections suddenly willing to acknowledge their horse is worth less money than it was last time it raced are giving a signal that, in general,says one of two things; Were now seriously after the purse winnings in todays race, or. A dropped head is a sign your horse is relaxed and feeling good, and his ears will often hang to the side as well. d) Has not raced in 30 days but has at least three drills in the last 20 days. For it is my opinion that such drops are not as easy toassess as they were in the past. Each race carries an RCL that applies to all horses who competed in that race. Basic subscribers have access to the 80:20 rule pointers reports.. Here are the filters * we use that help us find the list of horses that on average will provide 80% of the winners each day.. e) Low-priced claiming levels ($5000 or less) with restrictions such as non-winners of a So, as I said, I'm not going to try and solve this class-handicapping puzzle. Click here to visit Cafe Casino! You should look out for a horse who has been dropped in class as it means that they will invariably be contesting against weaker horses. We would say that it was lower. Data, 90 Day Tipping Class Changers. Ratio of sires All Weather A/E to Turf A/E. Advertising on UK Horse Racing. Please confirm must be 5/8 or more. b) Open claiming races where no entry in the field has ever won for this claiming price class today should be tossed out. I certainly applaud that kind of research and do some of it myself. Stats for combination runs on this code only. And look at what happens when those same horses compete for a purse less than half of what it was in their last race: Number: 122 Winners: 28 Win Rate: 23.0% $2 Return (ROI): $1.15 (-42.25%). Never take a short price on an Notice that the win rate stayed about the same, but the $2 net return actually decreased. HERES HOW IT GOES ;; Differential Columns If they are good players, perhaps they make it to a college team. bounce factor, which really does exist. Favourite Stats, Jockey National Hunt [[DOESNT SAY WHAT TO DO ON DISTANCE SWITCHES IN THOSE RACES? To refine and discover your own preferred betting angles, why not register an account today with one of our recommended horse betting sites. Graduates have just one win on their past performances and there is usually not much data to evaluate. Click here to visit Bovada! Maidens & Koulds How often does the 3rd fav win over all races flat and national hunt. SO I DOUBLE UP ON THIS PRICE IF AVAILABLE AT POST TIME OR IF THE MORNING LINE WAS ABOUT 9/2 AND THE POST IS NOT THE FAR OUTSIDE. a) Claimers, non-winners of two lifetime. Horse Handicapping: Finding and Betting Class Drops. You may want to check the sires individual performance on Fibresand if racing at Southwell. In horse racing there is a method of grouping horses by their talent level. 9 View stats for trainer and jockey combinations, hot and cold trainers, horses changing in class and much more. It would be nice if we could come up with a neat way of judging and handicapping for class. You can do this by clicking on the sires name on the racecard and looking at his A/E stat at Southwell. It has managed to finish second and third a number of times but cannot seem to manage a win. If you, like us, believe that the class of the event is determined by the main attendees then the class is the same. Stats, Trainer We four have such a good time that we decide to do it again next month and to allow Class `B` celebs in as well. Stats, Trainer Make a note of horses that are dropping in class, who ran a speed rating faster than class in their last race and those that are well handicapped. Our statistics for horse races are updated regularly and pull in all the racehorses who are dropped in class. Favourite Stats, Jockey All Weather c) Any race in which none of the participating horses can run to par for that given Join today and instantly access our racing info including: Backing and Laying System Builders Unlimited Stats Unique Horse Racing Ratings, All for just 35 a month or see special offers, Lingfield1:20 1:56 2:31 3:06 3:41 4:16 4:51 Wolverhampton5:30 6:00 6:30 7:00 7:30 8:00 8:30. ineffective conditioner. ?--or is this available in november? the wagering regulations in your jurisdiction as they vary from state to state, province to province and The table below includes all the double-digit winners from straight claiming races of 5 to 9 furlongs at the tracks issued by Horse Racing Gold for the week of June, 9th through June, 13th. Back to racing; consider the Derby the in 2004. With the Click the Reset Button to clear existing filters. speed where it can lay close to the pace (within three lengths at the first call). Nobody gives anything away at the racetrack. Favourite Stats, Trainer National Hunt Course Stats, Latest But the same race conditions at Golden Gate Fields would be rated at 145. Minimum of 5 runs to qualify. Class droppers won 11 of those, or 61% of them. Results. The exception to this rule is turf routes. This Your email address will not be published. Arrived at your site by accident and found it one of the most informative and interesting racing sites, well done. 2] IF THE LENGTHS AT THE FINISH!!! There are many tables on this page but each of them are useful for analysing today's races from a stats point of view. View stats tables for today's horse racing meetings at Lingfield and Wolverhampton. If a horse is dramatically dropping in class Minimum of 30 runs to qualify. Suspicious Drop in Class today Todays Racing Digest race sheets makes handicapping class easy by using a simple number system assigned to a certain type of race that represents its position relative to other races. IVE STUDIED OVER >>500 OF THESE TYPES RACES,,,,,, Several things would give me pause, starting with the steep drop in class (and purse value) and ending with Tribal Jewels eroding speed rations and subpar recent works, particularly his latest. coming off a layoff. A horse that can only run a half-mile in :48 seconds is unlikely to ever beat a horse that can run the same distance in :44 seconds. Unsound ones with problems do not. "Horses dropping by 30% or more win 378% of their rightful share of races!". Throw in a Differentials Impact The horse dropping in class has long been one of horse racing's most reliable betting angles. Guest are limited to viewing 3 items per table. A layoff is defined as 90 days or more. Movers, 1st Time Race Information "Blindingly Obvious", Sire & Dam Stats Each stat is displayed in a table and shows the name, profit, or ROI% of the stat. Runners, Shrewd Trainer They have had sufficient time to prove their ability. You can use these advanced figures to determine if a stat has a sufficient sample and is reliable. Not taking odds and favoritism into account as a quick over-all stat class droppers win almost three times as many races as class risers! A class drop is always an important factor in handicapping a race. If he's standing in his stall or pasture with a lowered head, he's probably either resting or asleep; call his name and make your approach obvious so you don't startle him. . However, if its first race back has been stressful (dueled with I'll make a few generalized assumptions before showing you some recent figures . The Accuracy The following lists the rules (or criteria) to which the horse must adhere. What is total aggregate distances at Lingfield today? Wins at the course (all weather track). The question to ask yourself is has this horse recently been competitive at todays class level and if not have they ever been competitive at this level? Run, BetTurtle Horse Claiming races are those in which the horses entered are for sale. 9. Here is the full list of racehorses who are running today and have been Dropped in Class. individual. The favorite must have at least tactical ALSO THE RATE OF WINS IS ONLY 16%, BUT THE AVERAGE PRICE PAYOFF IS ABOUT $11.60 AND AVERAGE LENGTHS IMPROVEMNET WAS 6 1/4 . If you have a horse who drops, you'll know what I'm talking about! ALSO I TEND ELIMINATE A HORSE WHO QUIT EVERY RACE IN THE FORM PLUS A VERY BAD POST OUTSIDE. You would not expect a high school team to perform well against a group of NFL veterans. Jockey Using the horses form string determine which horses perform well given the conditions of today's race. Horses dropping in class at today's races. Think for just a second about how human athletes compete in sports. Sometimes trainers will try to steal a race by running a horse for a claiming tag that is way lower than what the horse is actually worth. Youll receive free past performances, a nice bonus, and more when you sign up today! -. c) Raced within 30 days and two works within 14 days Table ranked by place strike rate. Just like other athletes, these horses have different skill levels. Take action today, and your horse handicapping, and horse racing betting will make a huge leap into the profit zone. Stats for runs within the past 28 days. Class drops are most frequently noted in claiming races. To make it easier to compare races run at different tracks the RCL is based on the strength of the race and not necessarily just the class structure and conditions of the race. Often, a horse will run well when fresh and Now, the party`s classification was dropped but the same people turned up. For the most part, each class receives a number that remains constant. I USE THE MOST MONEY WON [LIFETIME] AS MY BET ON TOP IF MORE THAN ONE CONTENDER OF THIS TYPE. And that is the horse who was dropping in its last race from the penultimate race (and lost), but today is coming back at the same level as last [e.g., todays race is claiming $12,500; last race is also $12,500; but the race before that is $16,000]. Finding that vulnerable Cards, Search country to country. In claiming races, it's quite simple to determine if a horse is going up or down in class. Race Level Stats for combination runs. Many punters like to follow and bet on horses who have been dropped in class. Your email address will not be published. In this guide we look at horses who have been dropped in class, this means they are running against weaker horses than in their last race. involved. Theoretically, it will now be facing horses closer to its own skill level. Runners, Shrewd Trainer A similar race at Turf Paradise is rated at 130. Thoroughbreds are born to run but they do not all possess the same talent level. TO DAVE HENRYAND ALL As stated earlier, at some tracks there are - rather than distinct class levels - class groupings. Any maiden who has at least six starts and is not dropping in TrForm You can also view tables for horses that have the highest earnings, that are changing in class and even a list of all horses carrying a penalty today. If the Today : Tomorrow: DATE COURSE TIME NO. Alternatively, you can read the Bovada Racebook review first. Results. horse comes from the clouds, toss out. This is a class drop. Koulds Scoring Trainer, Trainer All Weather No Speed Fame, Betting Like the advantage a big league baseball team would have over a double-A league team. NOT LENGTHS UNLESS NEAR 6 1/4L EXAMPLE: 16 L BACK IN 2CD LAST RACE AND 4 LENGTHS BACK IN LAST RACE == 12 L. DIFFERENCE WOULD BE BET OVER AN 8 LENGTHS IMPROVEMENT OF ANOTHER CONTENDER. Subscribe today and have instant access to all of our systems, stats and ratings! Stats, All Green Your email address will not be published. Results: There were 64 double-digit winners during this one week's span at these tracks. Regr g/d Alternatively, you can read the Cafe Casino review first. If a horse is dramatically dropping in class. Therefore, horses in a $10,000 claiming race can be bought by anyone with an owners license and $10,000. Ratings, Course Stats By We at UK Horse Racing think not. Runners, One Runner If a horse has been struggling at a certain claiming level, the trainer and owner may wish to drop to a lower price. With this simplified class rating system you will now clearly understand if a move up or drop in class for a horse in todays race is a big jump and how that compares to other horses in the field allowing you to you quickly and easily determine if the horse is a contender at todays race class level. At Turfdom, we have come up with a number of proven rules to But it got me wondering? Joanne & Larry Ross 6100 Aumsville Hwy SE Salem, OR 97317 Home: 503-585-3100 Cell: 503-580-6827 There are some positive things to look for as well. Within each of these categories are also many levels. Many shrewd betting experts study the trainers and horses covering the longest distance to the racecourse today. If the trainer doesn't have enough confidence in the horse to keep trying at the higher level races pay . All major credit cards are accepted & Bitcoin. . Join now for as little as 94p a day with a three month subscription, or try us for a week for just a tenner. Here are all the articles related to horse racing stats for the UK and Irish races. More Racing StatsFlatStats has dozens of stats for you to view such as stats for first time geldings, change of trainer, sires on soft ground and much more. competition. An interesting twist to the class drop is one that Ive noticed, but never kept any records. Some of the information is not stat based but shows essential information such as horses dropping in class, or changes in trainer. I set up British Racecourses with the desire to share my passion for racing with other like-minded people. The same goes for a dirt horse trying the grass for the first time and viceversa. Say you're looking at a $30K open claiming race: It might include a last-out maiden special winner, or a runner from an optional claimer, a restricted claimer, a starter handicap, an allowance race - or, God forbid, all of the above! Stats, Tipping Hall of a) Raced with 17 days Horse Below areraces fromthis past Sunday, July 22. I GOT A SYSTEM LONG AGO THAT WAS CALLED THE DROP DOWN COVER UPSYSTEM. Class droppers won 11 of those, or 61% of them. I'm going to look at class (and class drops) in claiming races in the simplest way possible. Both bring a temporary prosperity; both bring a permanent ruin. One who wins 8% of their starts or less within the last year defines a losing trainer. this level. Since the Grade I race is five points higher than a Grade II race, the Grade I race is considered to be one class level stronger than a Grade II race. If today's race is on turf then only the jockey and trainer combination turf stats are shown. It really is that simply. Any horse that drops suspiciously in The same principle holds true in horse racing. Note that 3 of the races were won by horses staying at the same level as previous race, so then - only 4 races were won by horses going up in class - that's just 22 %. Figures from flat turf and all weather. Required fields are marked *. When a horse is entered in a specific claiming race for a certain price, the owner and trainer are stating what they believe the horse is worth. Copyright 2023 British Racecourses - britishracecourses.org is intended for the sole use of the individuals over 18 years of age. If a horse is wearing Blinkers for the first time it may have worn other head gear previously. Favourite Stats, Jockey All Weather You can view stats such as trainer and jockey combinations, changes in trainer, penalty carriers, quick returners, class changers and much more. All information provided by this The times to play these horses are when the odds are acceptable to offset the risk Age The data in the table is a powerful resource which demonstrates how much a horse is rising or dropping in class from its last race. today and looks too good to be true, it probably is. That is worse than the 80% of people that fail at , By Ed McNamara Classic Causeway bolted to the lead out of the gate, and before the 8-5 favorite reached the turn, he had company on , By Richard Rosenblatt If at first you do succeed, you might as well try to do it again.
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