Prior to Election Day, the U.S. Supreme Court rejected a request by Pennsylvania Republicans to block a state court order that allows mail ballots arriving up to three days after Nov. 3 to be counted. But registration figures vary greatly by county. In recent years the state government has moved from purple with a democratic governor and a republican legislature with a modest majority, to fire engine red. [25] All these facts should be taken into account when looking at election maps. It is 62 percent Republican, 25 percent Democrat and 13 percent other. During Election Day in 2016, Democrats reported good turnout in Philadelphia, and Clinton actually pulled out almost as many raw votes out of Philly as Obama in 2012. The county with the most lopsided voter registration margin is Philadelphia, which is 78 percent Democrat, 11 percent Republican and 11 percent other. 22 vs. 27th) and better average grades in eight of the 14 separate ranking topics: livability, rai These county-by-county and district-by-district maps reveal that the true nature of the divide is between urban areas and inner suburbs and rural and exurban areas. Here's why Pennsylvania is a Red State to the core. To win in 2016, Donald Trump broke through some of the 'blue wall' of 242 electoral votes that had voted Democratic in each presidential election since at least 1992. McCain held the more suburban and rural areas of both the red and blue states, while Obama received the large majority of the urban city areas in all the states. You might have heard of this: In Pennsylvania, if you don't submit your mail ballot with the proper envelope, it's called a naked ballot and it will get tossed out. Pennsylvania's diversity is mostly on par with the rest of the nation. Despite the prevalent winner-take-all practice, the minority always gets a sizable vote. Some maps use more classes, such as shades of red and blue to indicate the degree of election victory. States that voted against Mr. Trump in 2016 have seen 103,918 deaths, according to the latest New York Times tally on Thursday afternoon, compared with 91,525 in states that supported him. Obama also came close to winning Missouri and Montana, losing both by a small margin. Eight of the districts gave Trump 58% or higher. *Maine and Nebraska allow electoral votes to be split. He won 56 percent to Trump's 43. But what they didn't realize was that Trump was surging in rural parts of the state and flipping some swing counties like the ones mentionedabove. The vast majority of reported incidents involved concerns about unlawful electioneering or interference at polling sites. [53] White, middle-aged, Christian, married males made up McCain's largest constituency. Americas Colleges Have Become Progressive Liberal Rat Holes, Russia and the High Priesthood of the Neocon Synod, DeSantis Hits the Road for Law and Order Tour. Pennsylvania was one of the most closely watched states throughout the 2020 election. How red or blue is your state? During the 2016 presidential election, two districts (the first and second) gave Clinton over 80% and 90% of the vote. While Hillary Clinton dominated in Philadelphia, winning 82%, she only took a 475,000-vote edge out of the city, compared Barack Obamas 492,000 vote advantage in 2012. Both provided Obama with double-digit margins of victory over McCain. It further claims that from 1976 to 2004, in an attempt to avoid favoritism in color-coding, the broadcast networks standardized the convention of alternating every four years between blue and red the color used for the incumbent president's party. Anita What do you want to know? Archie Tse, The New York Times graphics editor who made the choice when the Times published its first color presidential election map in 2000, provided a nonpolitical rationale for retaining the redRepublican link, explaining that "Both 'Republican' and 'red' start with the letter 'R. If we just win one state between North Carolina and Georgia, then we could lose Michigan and Florida and still get over 270 electoralvotes.. And West Virginia is losing. The choices of color and shading likewise affect the map's appearance. The following list is tabled from the last Presidential Election 2020. But also, the early voter turnout we're seeing has been - seems to have been a factor. Then again, Sen. Bob Casey told me he thought the race could potentially be called in Pennsylvania tonight. This election cycle, voters in Pennsylvania were universally able to vote by mail in the general election. While some red counties shifted to the left, larger margins of victory than Clinton in already-blue countieswas the primary force thatdrove Biden to victory. PTFCA Indoor State Championship by Don & Gayle Rich Feb 26, 2023 WATCH: Eighth Grader Sophia Rodriguez runs 9:43 3K Mar 3, 2023 Drew Griffith runs the third-fastest Mile in PA History Mar 1, 2023 However, because of the large geographical size of many states in the Central and Southern United States, the color-coded map appeared to show great support for Bush and the Republicans with smaller outliers of Democratic support on the coasts and near the Great Lakes.[32]. Further highlighting this polarization: While relatively competitive overall, only four states (FL, NC, OH, VA) were decided by less than 5% popular vote margin in the 2012 presidential election. [15][16][17] NBC used the color blue for the incumbent party, which is why blue represented the Democrats in 2000. Please help update this article to reflect recent events or newly available information. But in 2016, although Hillary Clinton won Latino voters by roughly 30 points, turnout was remarkably . List Of Blue States And Red States No. If you would like to change your settings or withdraw consent at any time, the link to do so is in our privacy policy accessible from our home page.. Partly as a result of this eventual and near-universal color-coding, the terms "red states" and "blue states" entered popular use in the weeks after the 2000 presidential election. These editorials note the increasingly polarized political strife in the U.S. between Republican voters and Democratic voters. I'm watching to see what happens in Pennsylvania, Florida, North Carolina, Wisconsin and the Upper Midwest states which seems to be the most crucial for a potential Trump victory given the recent polling and his path to winning in 2016.I'm also watching to see what emerges as the chief issue for voters: the economy (which historically has favored Trump), or his administration's handling of Covid (where he has been far weaker in the polls). He held his own in . Out of. Mitchell Thorson, Kevin Crowe, Dian Zhang, and Dan Keemahill contributed to this report. Starting with the 2000 United States presidential election, the terms "red state" and "blue state" have referred to U.S. states whose voters vote predominantly for one party the Republican Party in red states and the Democratic Party in blue states in presidential and other statewide elections. Is Missouri a red state? Forty-seven of the 50 states were consistent in voting for George W. Bush or his Democratic opponent in the 2000 and 2004 presidential elections. With the election year underway, we put together a state map that lays out the political landscape, based on February voter registration figures from the Pennsylvania Department of State. Pennsylvania's CPVI is R+2. Individually and collectively, they are not reducible to red or blue.[29]. Dane County is home to Madison, the second-largest city in Wisconsin. FiveThirtyEight's forecast currently expects these states to step slightly to the left in 2020, but there's a lot of uncertainty here, especially in a state like Maine where the error bars. All Rights Reserved. Traditional political mapmakers, at least throughout the 20th century, had used blue to represent the modern-day Republicans, as well as the earlier Federalist Party. Catholic and Protestant Christians were more likely to vote for McCain than for Obama, whereas voters of other faiths, as well as secular atheist and agnostic voters, predominantly favored Obama. PUBLISHED: November 5, 2020 at 11:39 a.m. | UPDATED: November 5, 2020 at 7:29 p.m. Pennsylvania's continued ballot count from the general election showed the state possibly flipping from red to . Election maps often use a two-class color scheme (red and blue), which results in a map that is easy to read but is very generalized. Although the Electoral College determines the presidential election, a more precise measure of how the country actually voted may be better represented by either a county-by-county or a district-by-district map. If a state is not a red state or a blue state, it might be a swing state . (lighter shading indicates win 5%), Winner received plurality of the vote but did not receive an outright majority of the popular vote Below, we've broken out how 16 battleground states voted since 2000 and what the ever-changing Electoral College map could mean going forward. Since the 1984 election, CBS has used the opposite scheme: blue for Democrats, red for Republicans. The Online Home of Author and Investor, Dick Young, President Donald J. Trump delivers remarks on Americas Energy Dominance and Manufacturing Revival Tuesday, Aug. 13, 2019, at the Shell Pennsylvania Petrochemicals Complex in Monaca, Pa. (Official White House Photo by Tia Dufour). The blue states scored better two ways higher overall average rankings vs. red states (No. Biden rebuilt the "blue wall" and expanded the map Rust Belt states have been the base of Democrats' electoral map for a generation, but along with winning them back, Biden also expanded the. These states often had more regulations and higher taxes. Some maps attempt to account for this by using cartogram methods, but the resulting distortion can make such maps difficult to read. Secondly, I'm looking to see if we get a sense tonight of how many "naked ballots" there are in the state. Dec. 10, 2020. That's why it was interesting to see Trump rehash his line on fracking in Bucks County during a rally on Saturday. Vertical lines before 1992, 2002, 2012, and 2022 show Census-related redistricting breakpoints. "[27] Arguably, this eventually proved to be somewhat true, but not in McCain's favor as Obama won three "red" states that had not voted Democratic in many years, namely Virginia, North Carolina, and Indiana along with a part of deep red Nebraska, via the state's (much less conservative as a whole) second congressional district. Cartograms developed by Gastner, Shalizi, and Newman at the University of Michigan provide another way to depict election results,[28] which change from a red-blue paradigm to one of shades of purple.[29]. The following list is tabled from the last Presidential Election 2020. An example of data being processed may be a unique identifier stored in a cookie. In fact, many of the Great Plains and Rocky Mountain states which voted for Bush are relatively sparsely populated (Nebraska, for instance, has a population similar to the island of Manhattan). Some precincts reported mechanical problems or ran out of supplies. Alabama is the most Republican, and Washington the most Democratic state, according to new rankings from The Hill. After all, it's only at the center of the political universetonight. The "blue wall" went blue once again Democratic. It is not a red state. The paradigm has been criticised on several fronts. And when election results flowed in Tuesday night, Nov. 2, Studio 8-H at 30 Rockefeller Center lit up. This is nice, but you do realize that Maryland has elected Republican governors 3 of the last 5 elections and currently has a Republican sitting in the capital. As the 2016 election cycle approached, the electoral map had become pretty predictable. [37][38] In 2020, 58 percent of U.S. voters lived in landslide counties. A purple state refers to a swing state where both Democratic and Republican candidates receive many votes without an overwhelming majority for either party. Pennsylvania is generally considered a battleground state, although it voted Democratic in the six elections prior to 2016. Both parties have since adopted logos that use their respective colors (a blue "D" for Democrats[56] and a red "GOP" for Republicans). Clinton:36,322 (35.80%). [41][note 1][42]. After flipping red as a key swing state for President Donald Trump in 2016, former Vice President Joe Biden claimed Wisconsin's electoral votes today in what is being called one of the most important elections of a lifetime.. Wisconsin was a battleground state in the 2020 presidential election, and its 10 electoral votes were highly sought after by both candidates due to Wisconsin's . After the results were final with the Republican George W. Bush winning, journalists stuck with the color scheme, as The Atlantic's December 2001 cover story by David Brooks entitled, "One Nation, Slightly Divisible", illustrated. I think it's the state to watch. The Midwest has five states in the East North Central part of the region and seven in the West North Central. Various different maps, such as ones which coded states based on the strength of their support for one candidate or another, ones which gave results based on county, or ones which displayed states according to the size of their population, were proposed as correctives to this perceived flaw. The rate of drug overdose deaths has been steadily increasing in Tennessee over the past five years, and as with the other states, opioid drugs play a big role. The state has 20 electoral votes at stake in the presidential race. Same Since 2000: After 2020 Election Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. Eight of the districts gave Trump 58% or higher. In fact, the only Georgia county that flipped Burke voted Clinton in 2016, then Trump in 2020. The source defines a mass shooting as a shooting where three or more people. . So will that number end up being less than 100,000, ornot? 24/7 coverage of breaking news and live events. In 2008, Obama won in Iowa and New Hampshire by more than nine percentage points, and New Mexico by double digits. The 2020 election has caused anxiety among Americans to remain high as some states are still counting ballots. That solved the problem. Youve Answered Lifes Questions. We may be entering the brief "blue mirage" portion of the night, where Biden deceptively looks like he's doing well because counties first report the mail ballots they've been counting all day, and Biden supporters disproportionately voted by mail. The 2004 election showed two of these three states to be true to the presidential preferences of their respective regions, creating a greater regional separation; thus, an argument that the country was more divided from the 2000 election. During the 2016 presidential election, two districts (the first and second) gave Clinton over 80% and 90% of the vote. (This list is made as per the party winner of the Presidential election in each state [Not Governor], Here the Red represents Donald Trump whereas the Blue represents Joe Biden). This threshold varies by state and is based on patterns of past vote reporting and expectations about how the vote will report this year. [12] The 2000 election was not the first during which the news media used colored maps to depict voter preferences in the various states, but it was the first time the current red-blue terminology was used. Will Pennsylvania be red or blue in 2020? President-elect Joe Biden flipped five states from red to blue this election Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, and Pennsylvania and is expected to flip Georgia, where he leads Trump. One problem occurs when areal units differ in size and significance, as is the case with election maps. Feelings of cultural and political polarization between red and blue states, which have gained increased media attention since the 2004 election, have resulted in increased mutual feelings of alienation and enmity. They had ads, social media, conference calls, press releases, you name it on, all on fracking. Some voters expressed concern about imposing constables, others reported feeling harassed. *Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. - Matter of Fact with Soledad O'Brien Perhaps no one is better at understanding Pennsylvania voters than former Governor Ed Rendell. Which means he's a Nebraska-02 (where he's currently leading) away from hitting 270 on the number, WITHOUT Pennsylvania and Maine's 2ndDistrict. Biden's success could be attributed to many factors. In 2016, President Donald Trump won the state by .7%, which totalled about 44,000 votes, and flipped three counties from blue to red. By household income, Obama got a majority of households with less than $50,000 in annual income. Biden wants to cut his losses in those places (and maybe even flip a county here or there), so that's why you see him reiterate again and again that he doesn't want to ban fracking. Sen. Bob Casey and local Democratic Party leaders also said there was massive turnout in the Philadelphia suburbs, which would be a win for Biden. Colored bars represent electoral votes by party. Telling tweet from election law expert Rick Hasen: "Biggest surprise of the election watch for me so far: Florida's election administration doesn't make my top 3 of places I'm worried about. Let's continue our tour around the Electoral College. By this definition, Arizona and Georgia are still (slightly) red states R+7.6 and R+7.4, respectively. Next is Alabama at No. [33] The polarization has been present for only four close elections (2000, 2004, 2016, and 2020). In the 2000 election, Bush received a smaller share of the popular vote than Al Gore, and four years later defeated John Kerry by this count by less than two and a half percentage points. Holly My point in mentioning Montgomery County and Philly is that if those places aren't reporting all their votes, the red mirage scenario is still very much in place if the president chose thatroute. Some election maps, however, have violated this tradition by simply coloring each areal unit with a red-blue mixture linked to voting ratio dataresulting in an "unclassified choropleth map". Your Cash Swept into Your Brokers Bank Account! Is It All Coming Apart in the Governments Face? .mw-parser-output .citation{word-wrap:break-word}.mw-parser-output .citation:target{background-color:rgba(0,127,255,0.133)}^1: Split their votes. [40] At the same time, the 2020 U.S. presidential election marked the ninth consecutive presidential election where the victorious major party nominee did not win a popular vote majority by a double-digit margin over the losing major party nominee(s), continuing the longest sequence of such presidential elections in U.S. history that began in 1988 and in 2016 eclipsed the previous longest sequences from 1836 through 1860 and from 1876 through 1900.
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